NexusHQ

Geopolitical-market intelligence platform that fuses four independent signal layers via Bayesian posterior updating. 59-tool AI analyst, game theory engine with 10 live scenarios, real-time war room, and direct broker integration.

89%
Prediction Accuracy
59
AI Tools
50+
Widgets
4
Signal Layers
Signal Convergence
LIVE
Geopolitical
Days to years

Conflicts, sanctions, military posture, diplomatic shifts, regime changes

SourcesGDELT real-time feeds, ACLED conflict data
Market
Hours to days

Options flow anomalies, volatility regime shifts, credit spreads, dark pool activity

SourcesAlpha Vantage, Yahoo Finance, Twelve Data
OSINT
Days to weeks

Military aircraft tracking (20s polling), vessel monitoring at chokepoints, dark fleet detection

SourcesOpenSky Network, GDELT maritime, VIIRS satellite
Systemic Risk
Early-warning 2-3 weeks ahead

Contagion modeling, yield curve, VIX regime, Bayesian Change Point Detection for regime shifts

SourcesFRED (31+ series), treasury curves
Convergence triggered when 3+ layers align temporally
NexusHQ platform

What's inside

Eight core systems working together. Each one is production-grade on its own, together they do something that doesn't exist anywhere else.

01

AI Analyst (59 Tools)

Conversational intelligence agent powered by Claude with 59 specialized tools. Market lookups, GDELT search, portfolio analytics, game theory scenarios, and direct trade execution through natural conversation.

NEXUS AI Chat

02

War Room

Real-time 2D/3D geopolitical map with military aircraft tracking (15,000+ VIP database), vessel monitoring at critical chokepoints, OSINT feed overlays, ACLED conflict heatmaps, and satellite positions.

NEXUS War Room

03

Game Theory Engine

10 built-in geopolitical scenarios modeled as N-player sequential games. Nash equilibria, Prospect Theory, Fearon bargaining models, and Quantal Response Equilibrium with real-time payoff updates.

NEXUS Game Theory Engine

04

Prediction Engine

Falsifiable predictions with Brier score calibration. Pre-event locking prevents hindsight bias. Per-category accuracy tracking and damped half-gap correction. 89% accuracy on market predictions.

NEXUS Predictions & Calibration

05

50+ Dashboard Widgets

Configurable dashboard: candlestick charts, 31 FRED series, yield curve, VIX gauge, gamma exposure, credit stress, congressional trading, on-chain analytics, shipping intelligence, and more.

VIX REGIME
Transitioning
CONVERGENCE
5.3/10
YIELD CURVE
Inverted
FEAR/GREED
50
FREDGEXCongressOn-chain+46

06

Thesis Generation

Automated intelligence briefs synthesizing technical snapshots, sentiment, convergences, and game theory. Red team adversarial layer challenges every thesis. Walk-forward accuracy feeds credibility scoring.

NEXUS Thesis Generation

07

Trading Integration

Direct connection to Interactive Brokers, IG Markets, Trading212, and Coinbase. Portfolio risk analytics including VaR, Sharpe ratio, and max drawdown. Execute trades from chat or thesis recommendations.

BUY XLE
@ 89.40
SELL TLT
@ 92.15
BUY GLD
@ 186.20
IBKRIGT212

08

Knowledge Bank

Institutional memory with pgvector semantic search (1024-dim Voyage AI embeddings). Store theses, world models, actor profiles, and historical patterns. Base rate anchoring and duplicate detection.

NEXUS Knowledge Bank

59-tool AI analyst

Superforecasting protocol requires 5-tool parallel calls before assigning probabilities, regime detection before every analysis, and forced engagement with strongest counterarguments. Every thesis gets adversarial challenge from a separate red team prompt.

Market Analysis

  • Live quotes & price history
  • Options flow & gamma exposure
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • Market regime detection
  • Correlation monitor
  • Economic nowcast

Geopolitical Intel

  • GDELT event search
  • Game theory scenarios
  • Power balance analysis
  • Actor profiles
  • VIP aircraft lookup
  • GPR index decomposition

Specialized Intel

  • Congressional trading (STOCK Act)
  • Short interest signals
  • On-chain whale monitoring
  • Shipping intelligence
  • Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi)
  • Supply chain exposure

Portfolio & Execution

  • Direct order placement
  • Risk metrics (VaR, Sharpe)
  • DCF valuation
  • Position sizing
  • Polymarket order execution
  • Unified portfolio view

Game theory engine

Models real-world strategic interactions as N-player sequential games with incomplete information. Dynamic payoffs update in real-time as conditions change.

  • Bayesian Nash Equilibria (Harsanyi 1967) with brute-force strategy search
  • Prospect Theory (Kahneman & Tversky) with loss aversion coefficient of 2.25
  • Quantal Response Equilibrium (McKelvey & Palfrey) for bounded rationality
  • Fearon Bargaining Model with audience costs, conflict likely when range collapses below 20%
  • Correlated Equilibrium (Aumann 1974) quantifying mediator improvement
  • 5-level escalation ladder with wartime threshold detection

10 Live Scenarios

Taiwan StraitIran NuclearOPEC ProductionRussia-Ukraine EndgameUS-China Trade WarHormuz ClosureIndia-Pakistan KashmirRed Sea ShippingEU Energy CrisisDPRK Provocation

Example Convergence

Geopolitical layer detects military posture shift in the Strait of Hormuz. OSINT layer picks up unusual vessel rerouting patterns. Calendar layer flags OPEC meeting in 48 hours. Market layer shows unusual call buying in oil futures. Four independent signals, one convergent thesis: oil supply disruption risk is elevated. The AI analyst synthesizes this into a briefing with trade recommendations and confidence scoring, then the prediction engine tracks it with Brier score calibration.

Intelligence briefings, not vibes

The thesis system generates structured intelligence briefings with executive summaries, situation assessments, risk scenarios, and trading actions. AI suggestions surface convergence-driven opportunities based on active signals.

  • Market regime, volatility, convergence density, and confidence scoring at a glance
  • AI-generated thesis suggestions based on active signals and context
  • Tagged with signal layers and relevant instruments for fast scanning
  • Red team adversarial challenge before every thesis ships
NexusHQ thesis intelligence briefing

Why this exists

Most financial platforms treat geopolitics as a news feed bolted onto a charting tool. Markets and geopolitics are interconnected systems, analyzing them separately means missing the patterns that matter most.

Nexus was built for the trader who reads foreign policy journals and options flow in the same sitting. The one who noticed the shipping reroutes before the headline. The one who wants their predictions scored with Brier scores, not vibes.

Convergence, Not Coincidence

Bayesian posterior updating with conditional dependency matrices across 4 independent layers. Exponential likelihood ratios, not naive averaging.

Accountable Predictions

Brier score calibration, pre-event locking, Wilson score confidence intervals. 89% accuracy with full receipts.

Analysis to Execution

Generate thesis, validate with AI, execute trade, all without leaving the platform. Four broker integrations.

Geopolitical First

Designed for traders who understand real-world events drive markets. Game theory with academic foundations.

Built for

Macro Traders

Synthesize geopolitical events with market data to find directional opportunities before consensus pricing catches up. Game theory models quantify conflict probability and market impact.

Hedge Fund Research

Generate intelligence briefs with adversarial challenge layers. Track predictions with Brier scores. Build institutional memory through the knowledge bank with semantic search.

Options & Volatility

Gamma exposure engine shows dealer hedging mechanics and zero-gamma inflection points. BOCPD detects volatility regime shifts. Geopolitical catalysts mapped to vol expansion scenarios.

Intelligence Professionals

War room with live OSINT, aircraft/vessel tracking, and Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). Dark fleet detection and chokepoint monitoring hours ahead of news.

Pricing

Analyst

$49.99/month

Signal detection and AI-assisted analysis for individual traders

  • Signal detection engine
  • AI chat analyst (100 msgs/day)
  • Daily thesis generation
  • Prediction tracking with Brier scores
  • War Room (view-only)
  • Email alerts
  • Macro dashboard widgets
  • Knowledge bank access
Start Analyst
MOST POPULAR

Operator

$99.99/month

Full platform access with live execution and real-time intelligence

  • Everything in Analyst
  • Unlimited AI analyst (59 tools)
  • Trading broker integration (live)
  • Real-time War Room + live OSINT
  • Game theory engine
  • Gamma exposure & regime detection
  • Portfolio risk analytics
  • API access
Start Operator

Institution

$199.99/month

Dedicated infrastructure and custom integrations for teams

  • Everything in Operator
  • Unlimited seats
  • Custom data integrations
  • Dedicated infrastructure
  • MCP server for external agents
  • White-label option
  • SLA guarantee
  • Direct engineering support
Contact Sales

See what's forming

Most traders react to headlines. Nexus shows you the convergence building across domains most aren't watching simultaneously.

Visit NexusHQ